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Tolerability of Risk

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So I need to post this. To get it all out of my head and move on with my life. Been thinking/obsessing over this too long. (Sorry its about the Grand National or more generally horse fatalities). The only TWO things that matter are 1) What is the risk? 2) What is acceptable? The first part should be straight forward to obtain from stats. I expect a wide difference of opinion on the second but have some ideas on how to put it in some context. 1) What is the risk? So here it is from the great work done by horsepwr. https:// horsepwr.co.uk I will talk about Jump Racing because its what every one is talking about re. GN. I want to re-calculate the rate to a rate per horse per annum so that it is comparable to numbers I have found later in the thread. So it is 112 fatalities from 7,722 individual horses in one year. That is 1.45% or 145 in 10,000 per annum. 2) What is acceptable? I am going to pivot to humans for a minute. The HSE has this framework for "Tolerability of R
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Manual Install Extension

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  Code repository is available here:  https://bitbucket.org/heaneyd/overround-calculator/src/master/ 1. Click Downloads   2. Download Repository 3. Assume you know how to save the zip file and and extract it.  Just remember where you saved it. 4. In Chrome beside the address bar, click the jigsaw piece to manage extensions. 5. Make sure "Developer Mode" is turned on, and then click the "Load unpacked" button.  Just navigate to where you unzipped the file and "Select Folder".  You can then make sure that version 1.1 is toggled on and you can toggle off the chrome store version 1.0.
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Le Tissier

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Click on penalty above to show video below (please view this page on desktop!) If embedded video not working try this link: link . The facebook video's don't want to embed nicely for me. And there is one giant video on youtube "First Division goals 1991-1992" that is over 9 hours long, sending the time markings of Le Tissier's goals seems to only work now and then. For these you might have better luck clicking the link. Matt Le Tissier, the Penalty Taker. In this blog A shot map of 33 of Le Tissier's penalties available on youtube. A rating of the placement quality of these 33 penalties based on PenaltyKickStat's data analysis of thousands of penalty kicks. A quick summary of barcanumbers blog, which is one of the best mathematical analysis of his bare record. A full list of the penalties that I could find with some notes. A description of his tehcnique mostly in his own words. Its
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